Super-duper Forecasting

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Dominic Cummi...  - sorry, The Mekon


Thanks to Smith, J. for pointing out an article in The Guardian I had missed: 'Why Boris Johnson is constantly surprised when his government fails' by Andrew Rawnsley. The central point in the piece is the influence at cabinet level of so-called 'Super-Forecasting' - much vaunted; indeed touted by Dominic Cummings, who obviously has cast himself in the role of said forecaster.


That the NonGovernment® have serially failed to forecast anything even vaguely accurately in the current crisis speaks volumes. Worzel Gummidge could have predicted the path of this pandemic better than this shower. I suspect that the Prime Minister, who is now widely regarded by his own back-benchers on all sides of his party to be inept and incapable of carrying out his duties as head of state, has been in thrall to this madman Cummings for some considerable time. The really telling thing is that Cummings has half-inched his theories from a third party's book, taking its premises as his own: we had gurus who did similar things in the sixties and they all ended up fleecing and/or killing  their followers and making themselves very rich in the process (although the killing thing usually turned out badly on all sides): Trust ye not false prophets.


The only consolation is that almost all of the Tory party seem to want Cummings out. If they succeed in getting rid of him, maybe they can follow it up with Johnson.


For what it's worth, as I think I've mentioned before, I forecast that the Axis of the Ridiculous™ - Trump in the White House & Johnson in Number 10 would be a thing, way back in 2016. Does that make me a Super-Forecaster? No. But I wouldn't mind Cummings probably not inconsiderable stipend, though.

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